REKAP ISI
JURNAL ILMIAH
UNTUK KAJIAN PENELITIAN YANG RELEVAN
NamaPengutip:
Rinny Viany (B11111060) Hari/Tgl Pengarsipan: 6 November
2014
No
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ASPEK JURNAL
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SUBSTANSI/ ISI JURNAL DIKUTIP
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1
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Judul /title:
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Exchange Rate
Movement and Foreign Direct
Investment in
Asean Economies
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2
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Nama penulis :
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Jaratin Lily,
Mori Kogid, Dullah Mulok, Lim Thien Sang, a nd Rozilee Asid
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3
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Nama, edisi, halaman jurnal :
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Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Economics Research International
Volume 2014, Article ID 320949, 10
pages
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Sumber/bentuk
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/320949
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4
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Setting penelitian
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A. Tempat penelitian :
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School
of Business and Economics, Universiti Malaysia Sabah, Jalan UMS, 88400 Kota
Kinabalu, Sabah, Malaysia
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B. Waktu penelitian :
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-
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C.
Subyek penelitian :
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the exchange rate movements and
foreign direct investment (FDI)
relationship using annual data on
ASEAN economies, that is, Malaysia, the Philippines, hailand, and Singapore.
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5
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Kerangkapikir :
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6
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Metodologi penelitian
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A. Jenis/ pendekatan :
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Quantitative
study
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B. Metode sampling :
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Purposive sampling
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C. Metode pengumpulan data
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collected
from World Development Indicators and Global Development Finance databases.
FDI inlows consist of capital provided (either directly or through other related
enterprises)by foreign direct investors to FDI enterprise or capital received
by foreign direct investors from FDI enterprise [ 22 ]. here are only four of
the ASEAN countries (Malaysia, the Philippines, Singa-pore, and hailand) that
had a complete set of information
for
the period of 1971–2011
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D. Metode analisis data :
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The causal relationship issue in this
study is tested by using Error Correction Model based on ARDL (ECM-ARDL).
Generally, in the case where y1 and x1 and are stationary variables I(0) ,( 6)and( 7) without the error
correction term can be estimated using the least squares method in level form
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7
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Teori yang digunakan :
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·
On
the contrary, Stevens [28 ] study found weak empirical support and showed
evidence of serious instability in the Froot and Stein [10 ] study
hypothesis. he study indings showed that the significant relationship between
the exchange rate and FDI inlows disappear for an important subperiod of
the1973–1988 periods and when the sample series were extended through 1991. Using
the data from 1976–1986 periods, Kogut and Chang [11 ] also concluded that
the real appreciation of the Japanese yen lead to more entries of Japanese
irms into the U.S. Blonigen [ 9]who reported that the real exchange rate
between the Japanese yen and the US dollar had a positive relationship with
the number of Japanese acquisitions (proxy for FDI) in the US, especially in
the manufacturing industries with more irm-speciic assets, supporting Kogut
and Chang’s [ 11 ] findings.
·
Baek
and Okawa [ 29 ] found that a depreciation of the Asian currencies against the
dollar significantly increases FDI in the export-oriented leading sectors
such as chemical and electrical machinery sectors. Particularly, Japanese FDI
in the electrical machinery is the most export-oriented sector whereover 70 percent
of the total sales in this industry by the Japanese subsidiaries in Asia were
for exports in 1997 and 1998.
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8
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Hasil/temuan penelitian :
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·
Unit
root test results using ADF, PP, and DF-GLS show that all variable series of
all cases (Malaysia, the Philippines, hailand, and Singapore) produced mixed
results but up to I(1) only. These results
suggest that most of the variable series have diferent integration order.
·
Since
the unit root tests indicated that most of the series variables have a
diferent order of integration, more robust cointegration analysis is then
tested using the ARDL bounds testing approach. he results showed that there
are long-run co integration relationships between FDI and exchange rate in the
case of Malaysia,thePhilippines,and Singapore,but none in Thailand. These
proposed that both FDI and exchange rate for the said countries may tend to
move together towards equilibrium.
·
Furthermore,
the result also shows the existence of short-run unidirectional causality
running from the exchange rate to the FDI in Sin-gapore. However, there is no
evidence of short-run causality in the Philippines and Malaysia.
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9
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Diskusi :
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·
This
study has tested the long-run co integration relationship and the direction
of the causal relations between FDI and exchange rate in Malaysia, the Philippines,
Sin-gapore, and hailand. The empirical findings based on the ARDL bounds test
suggest that there is evidence of long-run cointegration relationships
between FDI and exchange rate for the case of Malaysia, Singapore, and the
Philippines with all countries (except hailand) recording negative coeicient.
As this study refers the foreign exchange rate as the number of home currency
units per foreign currency, the negative relationship implies that the
appreciation (a fall in the exchange rate indices) of the local currency has
a positive impact on FDI inlows.
·
By using
ECM based on the ARDL approach for causality test, both Singapore and the
Philippines show long-run bid irectional causality between exchange rate and FDI.
Furthermore, long-run unidirectional causality running from the exchange rate
to FDI exists in Malaysia,while short-run unidirectional running from the
exchange rate to FDI exists in Singapore
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10
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Saran
& rekomendasi
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A. Saran :
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For
future research, the study proposes the breakdown of the investment inlows in
order to see the diferent efect of exchange rate on the economic sectors. Besides,
since the investment decision making seems to be in the long-run, the study
also proposes the inclusion of exchange rate movements via systematic
exchange rate (monetary) policy to promote an attractive long-term FDI for a
country in order to achieve sustainable economic development.
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B. Rekomendasi :
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